Post by PIJIP Professor Jorge Contreras, originally written as a guest post for Public Knowledge. [Source]
Despite its own protestations to the contrary, I am confident that the rumors of Samsung’s demise have been greatly exaggerated. Of course, the Korean electronics giant can’t be happy about the $1.05 billion verdict handed down by a San Jose jury last Friday. It will be even less happy if Judge Koh imposes another $2.10 billion in punitive damages on account of Samsung’s “willful” infringement. And spirits in Seoul will surely sink if the judge grants Apple’s request to enjoin the future sale of infringing Samsung products in the U.S.
But Samsung, not to mention other manufacturers of Android-based gadgets, will weather these setbacks and, I predict, be back in the ring within a few months. And I don’t base that view on the inevitable appeals of the jury verdict. Those will come, much to the delight of the (many, many) clever lawyers employed by each side. And those appeals will take years. Some commentators are already salivating at the thought of a Supreme Court rematch some time in the distant future. We all know that there will be plenty of room to reverse the findings of the nine beleaguered laypeople who slogged through 109 pages of written instructions for 3 days in San Jose. But not all of the verdicts will be reversed, and the appellate decisions will come far too late to make any difference in the market as we currently understand it.
No, Samsung’s immediate game plan must be re-design. And the good news for Samsung, and other Android makers, is that it shouldn’t be too hard.
Samsung and Google, the creator of the Android operating system, correctly predicted that there would be an overwhelming public appetite for fully-featured smart phones and tablets at price points well below Apple’s. Google released Android for free to support an ad-based revenue model. And device manufacturers like Samsung, HTC and others leaped at the opportunity to compete in the enormous market that Apple, to its great credit, created with the iPhone and iPad. But Samsung and Google made one serious tactical error that, in hindsight, is now clear. Their products looked, and worked, a little too much like Apple’s.
For Samsung, this mistake might be excusable. The consumer products that it has sold for decades all look the same. Who can tell a Samsung Blu-ray player from a Sony or a Toshiba or a Panasonic player? The same goes for flat-screen TVs, window air conditioners and even microwave ovens. They are all utilitarian black (or silver or white) boxes, without much to distinguish them other than their internal features, price and performance. Nobody predicted a couple of years ago that relatively esoteric legal rights like design patents and registered trade dress would play a major, and decisive, role in the shape of consumer electronics products.
On the software side, one could argue that Google should have known better. Companies have been fighting over the “look and feel” of software user interfaces since the bygone days of Borland and Lotus (that would be the late ‘80s, for younger readers). And, to be honest, the icons, screen layouts and other visuals of Android do look a lot like Apple’s. Now we know that the similarity was too close. “Infringing” is the legal term.
The good news, however, is that these problems should not be too difficult to fix. Let’s start with the software. Is there any reason that app icons need to be squares with rounded edges? Of course not. How about circles, or octagons, or pictures without borders? Any high school computer science student could make that fix in a matter of hours. Would the change diminish the user’s experience? Of course not. While the new “look” of Android icons would take a few seconds to get used to, how many users would forego an Android device just to enjoy the rounded-squares that were offered before? Maybe a few (a very few) would change their buying preferences on that basis, but those consumers were probably Apple customers anyway. Android is going after a lower-end, price-sensitive market. Would most teenagers sacrifice rounded squares to save a couple hundred dollars? Probably.
Icon design is just one aspect of the Android software that would need to be changed in order to avoid infringing Apple’s intellectual property rights. There are others, some more difficult to circumvent. Apple’s “utility” patents, in particular, would take some effort to design around. Thus, Android would need to find substitutes for patented features like “pinch to zoom”, “tap to center” and “bounce-back”. But there is a wide range of alternatives even for these features. Zooming could be accomplished with buttons, or slider bars, or moving one’s finger in a circle, or tapping the phone on one’s forehead, or some other clever, but yet unanticipated mechanism (not that I’m guaranteeing that Apple doesn’t have a patent covering some of these variants as well – obviously somebody needs to do a bit of patent research before launching into redesign). Again, assuming that the basic smart phone/tablet functionality is preserved, would these changes weaken Android’s market appeal? I doubt it, at least not in a significant enough way to make a difference. Remember, just a few years ago cell phone users tapped out text messages using a 10-digit keypad (tap “1” three times for “c”, and hold down for a few seconds to capitalize). In fact, users became quite good at it, and $20 phones held their own against $200 Blackberries with full qwerty keyboards for quite a while.
And what about the physical product design? Apple’s trial team made great use of graphics depicting long rows of Samsung devices that looked suspiciously like iPhones. And they described in loving, laborious detail the angst (and dollars) that went into Apple’s vaunted design effort. But who ever sees the famous “rounded bezel” these days? Nobody: because almost everyone who owns an expensive iPhone sticks it into a protective shell/casing/sleeve the moment it comes out of its patent-protected 2-piece box. And, by the way, those protective shells look NOTHING like the sleek design patented by Apple. They are fluorescent pink with Hello Kitty stencils, ruggedized black rubber, polka-dotted, bling-encrusted, spill-proof and otherwise blatantly “non-infringing”. Suffice it to say: Samsung’s product redesign should not be hard, and I suspect that consumers ultimately won’t care. Within six months, I predict that Samsung could be back on the market with a redesigned, non-infringing product that consumers will embrace.
So where does this leave Apple, with its market-defining design and scads of patents? It will remain at the top of the market, where it has always wanted to be. People who love great design, who take their devices out of their protective shells at night to admire their bezels and sleek curves, like Porsche owners who lovingly wax their vintage Carreras after everyone else has gone to bed, will keep buying. And so will consumers who value Apple products for the Apple “ecosystem” with its seamless connectivity, effortless backup and ubiquitous cloud presence. But that’s not everyone, and not everyone wants, or can afford, a $400 phone and a $600 tablet (service plan not included). There is a vast market for Samsung and other Android device makers to tap. If they can steer clear of the intellectual property held by Apple and other proprietary platform vendors, both camps should be able to coexist and consumers will enjoy the greatest choice and flexibility, which is when markets work best.